Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Barcelona with a 4.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 36.6% | 20.1% | −16.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 81.5% | 67.6% | −13.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 34.2% | 46.3% | +12.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 28.3% | 40.3% | +12.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 32.9% | 22.1% | −10.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 30.0% | 39.5% | +9.5 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 45.0% | 54.2% | +9.2 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 23.1% | 14.5% | −8.6 |
| Eibar | Relegation | 19.2% | 12.1% | −7.0 |
| Las Palmas | Champions League | 27.4% | 20.4% | −7.0 |
