Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leganés beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés | Relegation | 33.9% | 24.2% | −9.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 28.0% | 19.8% | −8.2 |
| Las Palmas | Champions League | 22.8% | 15.4% | −7.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 36.8% | 43.2% | +6.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 17.1% | 23.0% | +5.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 27.9% | 33.7% | +5.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 10.8% | 5.2% | −5.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 43.7% | 49.3% | +5.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 6.5% | 12.0% | +5.5 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 51.3% | 56.8% | +5.5 |
