Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Deportivo Alavés with a 8.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 3 (before the first match) against those on April 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 66.4% | 78.8% | +12.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 53.2% | 41.8% | −11.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 42.5% | 53.1% | +10.6 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 13.5% | 2.9% | −10.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 63.6% | 72.3% | +8.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 11.1% | 4.4% | −6.7 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 7.3% | 2.8% | −4.5 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 10.2% | 14.2% | +4.0 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 95.4% | 92.0% | −3.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 4.5% | 7.8% | +3.3 |
