Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Barcelona with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 6 (before the first match) against those on April 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 53.1% | 34.5% | −18.6 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 14.2% | 25.4% | +11.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 76.1% | 84.0% | +7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 23.8% | 15.9% | −7.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 72.3% | 79.8% | +7.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 41.8% | 45.9% | +4.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 4.4% | 0.9% | −3.5 |
