Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Eibar beat Villarreal with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on April 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 30.2% | 42.5% | +12.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 84.4% | 94.7% | +10.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 14.8% | 5.1% | −9.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 62.6% | 53.2% | −9.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 13.3% | 4.9% | −8.5 |
| Eibar | Europa League | 4.3% | 10.2% | +5.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 68.7% | 63.6% | −5.2 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 21.2% | 16.1% | −5.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 6.1% | 11.1% | +5.0 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 70.9% | 66.4% | −4.5 |
