Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 22 (before the first match) against those on January 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 59.1% | 72.0% | +12.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 19.6% | 26.1% | +6.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 26.1% | 19.6% | −6.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 42.9% | 36.6% | −6.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 89.5% | 83.9% | −5.6 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 12.4% | 6.8% | −5.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 26.5% | 21.4% | −5.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 9.2% | 13.4% | +4.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 14.3% | 18.2% | +3.8 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 28.6% | 32.3% | +3.7 |