Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Las Palmas with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 30 (before the first match) against those on May 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Europa League | 38.7% | 96.0% | +57.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 53.4% | 100% | +46.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 59.7% | >99.9% | +40.3 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 32.3% | 0% | −32.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 31.4% | 0% | −31.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 29.0% | 59.4% | +30.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 26.1% | 0% | −26.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 21.4% | 0% | −21.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 18.2% | 0% | −18.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 83.9% | 100% | +16.1 |
