Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Villarreal with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 16 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 33.7% | 19.6% | −14.1 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 14.5% | 6.4% | −8.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 19.2% | 26.5% | +7.3 |
| Granada | Relegation | 77.1% | 84.1% | +7.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 37.4% | 42.9% | +5.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 84.3% | 89.5% | +5.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 21.7% | 26.1% | +4.4 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 92.2% | 96.3% | +4.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 12.8% | 9.2% | −3.6 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 6.8% | 3.2% | −3.6 |
