Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 9 (before the first match) against those on January 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 75.0% | 61.0% | −14.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 13.6% | 21.7% | +8.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 41.8% | 33.7% | −8.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 29.4% | 37.4% | +8.0 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 22.0% | 14.5% | −7.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 53.5% | 60.2% | +6.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 78.0% | 84.3% | +6.3 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 8.0% | 13.3% | +5.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 14.4% | 19.2% | +4.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 35.3% | 39.8% | +4.5 |
