Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 19 (before the first match) against those on January 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 65.0% | 78.0% | +13.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 26.6% | 14.4% | −12.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 40.1% | 52.1% | +12.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 23.2% | 16.6% | −6.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 19.7% | 13.6% | −6.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 20.2% | 14.3% | −5.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 47.3% | 41.8% | −5.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 9.4% | 3.9% | −5.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 69.9% | 75.0% | +5.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 9.9% | 15.0% | +5.1 |
