Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 55.0% | 40.6% | −14.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 45.8% | 60.1% | +14.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 32.4% | 44.5% | +12.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 28.4% | 19.3% | −9.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 14.2% | 7.8% | −6.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 12.7% | 6.4% | −6.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 79.5% | 84.9% | +5.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 22.4% | 27.7% | +5.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 83.5% | 88.7% | +5.2 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 39.2% | 43.0% | +3.8 |
