Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 6 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Sevilla with a 17.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 28 (before the first match) against those on December 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 67.0% | 79.5% | +12.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 35.3% | 23.6% | −11.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.6% | 28.4% | +10.9 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 46.3% | 39.2% | −7.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 25.6% | 19.0% | −6.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 52.2% | 45.8% | −6.4 |
| Granada | Relegation | 72.0% | 65.7% | −6.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 70.7% | 75.0% | +4.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 25.8% | 22.1% | −3.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 20.9% | 24.3% | +3.4 |
