Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Villarreal with a 9.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 21 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 49.5% | 33.7% | −15.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 21.4% | 9.4% | −12.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 44.6% | 55.7% | +11.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 26.8% | 17.6% | −9.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 46.1% | 52.2% | +6.1 |
| Leganés | Relegation | 28.0% | 33.7% | +5.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 26.5% | 20.9% | −5.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 61.4% | 67.0% | +5.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 65.6% | 70.7% | +5.1 |
| Granada | Relegation | 67.1% | 72.0% | +4.9 |
