Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Villarreal with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 61.0% | 47.0% | −14.1 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 22.4% | 12.3% | −10.2 |
| Villarreal | Champion | 17.7% | 8.6% | −9.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 58.0% | 66.3% | +8.3 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 52.5% | 59.9% | +7.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 49.8% | 57.2% | +7.3 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 13.5% | 6.6% | −6.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 66.8% | 72.4% | +5.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 17.1% | 22.7% | +5.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 17.1% | 22.4% | +5.4 |
