Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Valencia with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 74.6% | 0% | −74.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 61.9% | 100% | +38.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 63.5% | 100% | +36.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 19.9% | 0% | −19.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 80.2% | 100% | +19.8 |
