Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Sporting Gijón with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 45.8% | 63.5% | +17.7 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 28.6% | 43.0% | +14.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 26.8% | 12.6% | −14.2 |
| Levante | Relegation | 50.8% | 39.0% | −11.8 |
| Granada | Relegation | 53.6% | 42.4% | −11.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 72.4% | 82.0% | +9.6 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 13.1% | 22.0% | +8.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 82.0% | 75.0% | −7.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 22.1% | 15.6% | −6.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 35.4% | 29.1% | −6.3 |
