Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Málaga with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 49.8% | 35.4% | −14.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 32.9% | 45.8% | +12.9 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 63.3% | 50.5% | −12.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 38.8% | 26.8% | −12.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 21.5% | 32.6% | +11.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 44.2% | 33.8% | −10.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 24.8% | 16.3% | −8.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 14.3% | 22.1% | +7.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 21.3% | 28.9% | +7.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 46.8% | 53.6% | +6.7 |
