Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Real Sociedad with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 12 (before the first match) against those on January 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 56.6% | 43.3% | −13.3 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 25.0% | 17.4% | −7.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 52.8% | 59.6% | +6.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 35.4% | 41.7% | +6.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 11.3% | 5.0% | −6.3 |
| Levante | Relegation | 25.8% | 31.4% | +5.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 10.0% | 4.6% | −5.4 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 23.9% | 29.0% | +5.1 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 41.2% | 46.1% | +4.8 |
| Granada | Relegation | 47.2% | 51.3% | +4.1 |
