Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 32.7% | 42.0% | +9.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 71.4% | 63.8% | −7.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 72.9% | 80.4% | +7.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 82.8% | 89.3% | +6.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 19.2% | 12.6% | −6.5 |
| Almería | Relegation | 30.6% | 35.6% | +4.9 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 12.3% | 17.2% | +4.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 13.2% | 8.5% | −4.7 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 18.8% | 14.1% | −4.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 11.8% | 16.3% | +4.5 |
