Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Barcelona with a 16.4% chance and Eibar beat Rayo Vallecano with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 26 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 33.3% | 20.2% | −13.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 53.0% | 64.9% | +12.0 |
| Elche | Relegation | 54.8% | 43.4% | −11.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 83.7% | 72.9% | −10.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 63.3% | 52.5% | −10.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 23.5% | 32.7% | +9.2 |
| Levante | Relegation | 36.3% | 27.5% | −8.9 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 19.9% | 11.1% | −8.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 32.3% | 39.9% | +7.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 18.8% | 26.0% | +7.2 |
