Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Valencia with a 24.4% chance and Elche beat Real Betis with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | Relegation | 28.7% | 19.1% | −9.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 20.4% | 28.8% | +8.3 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 16.2% | 23.9% | +7.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 24.4% | 17.2% | −7.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 20.7% | 14.0% | −6.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 77.0% | 83.7% | +6.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 37.5% | 43.9% | +6.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 19.1% | 12.7% | −6.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 11.0% | 17.3% | +6.3 |
| Almería | Relegation | 67.8% | 74.0% | +6.2 |
