Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Rayo Vallecano with a 21.0% chance, Celta Vigo beat Málaga with a 13.0% chance, and Athletic Club beat Getafe with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 21 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 43.9% | 30.1% | −13.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 30.3% | 18.6% | −11.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 14.0% | 23.2% | +9.2 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 23.9% | 16.1% | −7.8 |
| Almería | Relegation | 74.0% | 81.5% | +7.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 28.8% | 21.3% | −7.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 17.3% | 10.1% | −7.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 15.5% | 22.5% | +7.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 17.2% | 10.5% | −6.7 |
| Elche | Relegation | 19.1% | 25.6% | +6.6 |
