Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Málaga with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 13.1% | 55.9% | +42.8 |
| Elche | Relegation | 27.7% | 2.4% | −25.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 68.0% | 55.1% | −12.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 63.4% | 51.6% | −11.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 44.5% | 34.4% | −10.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 17.9% | 26.9% | +9.1 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 4.6% | 0% | −4.6 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 95.4% | 100% | +4.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 14.2% | 18.0% | +3.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 5.3% | 8.7% | +3.4 |
