Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Espanyol with a 13.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 21 (before the first match) against those on April 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | Relegation | 86.0% | 63.4% | −22.6 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 75.5% | 97.1% | +21.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 23.1% | 44.5% | +21.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 24.1% | 2.7% | −21.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 74.7% | 95.4% | +20.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 25.3% | 4.6% | −20.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 65.7% | 45.1% | −20.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 19.3% | 5.3% | −14.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 79.9% | 92.9% | +13.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 56.7% | 68.0% | +11.3 |
