Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 14 (before the first match) against those on May 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 9.6% | 58.3% | +48.7 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 38.4% | 8.9% | −29.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 62.6% | 91.1% | +28.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.4% | 3.9% | −25.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 17.5% | 36.5% | +19.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 81.5% | 100% | +18.5 |
| Almería | Relegation | 71.8% | 54.0% | −17.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 82.7% | 100% | +17.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 17.3% | 0% | −17.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 66.3% | 49.2% | −17.1 |