Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Barcelona with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 7 (before the first match) against those on April 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 45.4% | 17.5% | −27.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 31.7% | 53.1% | +21.4 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 52.5% | 66.3% | +13.8 |
| Granada | Relegation | 13.0% | 2.1% | −10.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 71.8% | 62.6% | −9.2 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 29.3% | 38.4% | +9.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 23.0% | 29.4% | +6.4 |
| Almería | Relegation | 65.9% | 71.8% | +5.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 33.2% | 27.5% | −5.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 13.1% | 9.6% | −3.5 |
