Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Málaga with a 24.5% chance and Real Betis beat Levante with a 17.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 24 (before the first match) against those on March 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 41.4% | 21.9% | −19.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 34.7% | 46.8% | +12.1 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 44.0% | 55.9% | +11.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 76.1% | 66.7% | −9.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 23.1% | 31.8% | +8.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 13.0% | 5.0% | −8.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 23.9% | 31.3% | +7.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 11.8% | 18.9% | +7.2 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 96.1% | 89.0% | −7.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 24.6% | 29.2% | +4.6 |
