Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Real Sociedad with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on March 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 65.9% | 41.4% | −24.5 |
| Almería | Relegation | 56.5% | 34.8% | −21.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 19.2% | 34.7% | +15.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 24.6% | 11.1% | −13.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 64.1% | 76.1% | +12.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 57.6% | 69.4% | +11.8 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 33.5% | 23.1% | −10.4 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 34.9% | 44.0% | +9.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 15.0% | 23.9% | +8.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 38.0% | 30.5% | −7.6 |
