Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Valencia with a 17.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 27 (before the first match) against those on March 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | Relegation | 55.9% | 35.9% | −20.0 |
| Almería | Relegation | 31.5% | 46.2% | +14.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 39.7% | 31.7% | −8.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 89.0% | 96.5% | +7.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 9.5% | 3.5% | −5.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 3.0% | 8.6% | +5.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 21.9% | 17.0% | −4.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 29.2% | 32.9% | +3.6 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 5.0% | 8.3% | +3.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 18.9% | 15.8% | −3.2 |
