Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Villarreal with a 16.1% chance and Espanyol beat Athletic Club with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 10 (before the first match) against those on February 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 21.3% | 38.8% | +17.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 55.4% | 44.9% | −10.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 16.6% | 6.5% | −10.1 |
| Granada | Relegation | 21.3% | 12.5% | −8.7 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 36.7% | 44.1% | +7.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 19.1% | 11.9% | −7.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 55.4% | 48.7% | −6.7 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 55.0% | 49.1% | −5.9 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 13.7% | 18.9% | +5.2 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 83.8% | 88.6% | +4.8 |
