Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Atlético Madrid with a 14.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 3 (before the first match) against those on February 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 48.0% | 25.2% | −22.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 28.6% | 43.7% | +15.1 |
| Almería | Relegation | 40.1% | 25.7% | −14.5 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 56.2% | 45.2% | −10.9 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 75.0% | 83.8% | +8.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 27.9% | 19.2% | −8.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 23.4% | 31.1% | +7.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 29.8% | 37.3% | +7.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 14.4% | 21.3% | +6.9 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 10.5% | 16.3% | +5.8 |
