Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Real Valladolid with a 19.6% chance and Villarreal beat Levante with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 51.3% | 37.6% | −13.8 |
| Elche | Relegation | 27.2% | 18.1% | −9.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 16.1% | 7.3% | −8.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 23.5% | 31.7% | +8.2 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 24.8% | 32.1% | +7.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 29.4% | 36.4% | +7.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 18.9% | 25.8% | +6.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 52.3% | 58.7% | +6.4 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 15.1% | 9.2% | −6.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 20.0% | 25.5% | +5.5 |
