Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 25 (before the first match) against those on December 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 60.1% | 45.0% | −15.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 39.1% | 27.2% | −11.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 27.3% | 37.4% | +10.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 37.6% | 43.8% | +6.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 25.8% | 19.6% | −6.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 25.5% | 31.6% | +6.1 |
| Almería | Relegation | 58.7% | 64.3% | +5.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 27.0% | 32.0% | +4.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 12.3% | 17.2% | +4.9 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 11.2% | 6.4% | −4.7 |
