Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Osasuna with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 35.4% | 23.5% | −11.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 62.4% | 52.3% | −10.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 27.6% | 37.1% | +9.6 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 42.0% | 51.3% | +9.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 34.6% | 26.3% | −8.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 21.6% | 29.4% | +7.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 25.8% | 19.3% | −6.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 54.9% | 61.3% | +6.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 9.6% | 15.9% | +6.3 |
| Granada | Relegation | 16.0% | 10.0% | −6.0 |
