Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Sevilla with a 17.4% chance, Valencia beat Getafe with a 22.0% chance, and Granada beat Levante with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 31 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería | Relegation | 72.8% | 62.4% | −10.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 37.1% | 27.6% | −9.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 24.5% | 16.0% | −8.5 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 25.5% | 17.2% | −8.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 34.2% | 42.0% | +7.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 18.1% | 25.8% | +7.7 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 12.3% | 18.2% | +5.9 |
| Elche | Relegation | 23.4% | 29.3% | +5.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 20.5% | 14.7% | −5.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 12.1% | 17.7% | +5.6 |
