Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Valencia with a 7.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on October 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 46.0% | 34.2% | −11.8 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 16.1% | 25.5% | +9.3 |
| Almería | Relegation | 81.5% | 72.8% | −8.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 78.5% | 86.3% | +7.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 30.1% | 37.1% | +7.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 18.9% | 12.1% | −6.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 23.2% | 30.0% | +6.8 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 19.2% | 25.5% | +6.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 10.5% | 5.8% | −4.7 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 12.5% | 9.2% | −3.3 |
