Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Mallorca with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 1 (before the first match) against those on October 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 30.0% | 20.9% | −9.1 |
| Granada | Relegation | 39.3% | 30.6% | −8.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 19.3% | 27.7% | +8.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 67.4% | 75.8% | +8.4 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 29.8% | 21.4% | −8.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 26.5% | 18.2% | −8.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 28.9% | 36.8% | +7.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 16.2% | 22.6% | +6.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 31.4% | 37.4% | +6.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 7.4% | 13.2% | +5.7 |
