Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 30.1% | 17.8% | −12.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 27.1% | 16.2% | −10.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 48.9% | 39.3% | −9.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 39.0% | 48.3% | +9.4 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 50.5% | 59.9% | +9.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 35.8% | 26.5% | −9.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 38.6% | 29.8% | −8.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 23.3% | 31.4% | +8.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 17.2% | 24.3% | +7.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 22.4% | 28.9% | +6.5 |
