Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Getafe with a 23.9% chance and Celta Vigo beat Real Valladolid with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 20 (before the first match) against those on May 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 62.0% | 87.3% | +25.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 94.0% | 71.3% | −22.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 53.2% | 31.0% | −22.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 53.2% | 31.0% | −22.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 46.8% | 69.0% | +22.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 46.8% | 69.0% | +22.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 32.9% | 51.1% | +18.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 16.4% | 0% | −16.4 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 74.9% | 79.4% | +4.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 94.8% | 90.4% | −4.4 |
