Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Levante with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 6 (before the first match) against those on May 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 34.7% | 62.0% | +27.3 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 22.1% | 46.8% | +24.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 57.1% | 32.9% | −24.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 70.2% | 94.0% | +23.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 23.8% | 46.8% | +23.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 75.9% | 53.2% | −22.7 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 75.6% | 53.2% | −22.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 33.6% | 16.4% | −17.2 |
| Granada | Relegation | 13.8% | <0.1% | −13.8 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 18.1% | 23.6% | +5.5 |
