Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Espanyol with a 23.3% chance and Rayo Vallecano beat Real Betis with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 30.6% | 43.8% | +13.2 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 29.7% | 18.6% | −11.1 |
| Levante | Champions League | 26.6% | 16.2% | −10.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 17.1% | 26.6% | +9.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 42.1% | 32.7% | −9.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 31.9% | 23.8% | −8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 55.9% | 63.3% | +7.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 23.0% | 29.8% | +6.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 20.6% | 26.9% | +6.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 7.0% | 12.9% | +5.9 |
