Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Athletic Club with a 22.2% chance and Real Valladolid beat Real Zaragoza with a 19.6% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Deportivo La CoruñaRelegation32.7%19.5%−13.2
BarcelonaChampions League43.0%55.9%+12.9
Real ValladolidRelegation40.4%29.7%−10.8
OsasunaChampions League25.9%15.1%−10.7
Athletic ClubChampions League18.2%10.1%−8.1
Real BetisRelegation16.8%8.9%−7.9
Real BetisChampions League12.1%20.0%+7.9
BarcelonaChampion12.8%20.6%+7.8
Real SociedadRelegation14.7%22.4%+7.7
Athletic ClubRelegation10.0%17.1%+7.1
Home 24.0%
Draw 24.1%
Away 51.9%
Home 52.5%
Draw 23.9%
Away 23.6%
Home 59.8%
Draw 21.6%
Away 18.6%
Home 54.5%
Draw 23.3%
Away 22.2%
Home 51.7%
Draw 24.2%
Away 24.1%
Home 64.3%
Draw 20.2%
Away 15.5%
Home 47.1%
Draw 25.7%
Away 27.2%
Home 29.0%
Draw 26.6%
Away 44.4%
Home 53.3%
Draw 23.7%
Away 23.0%
Home 58.3%
Draw 22.1%
Away 19.6%