Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Athletic Club with a 22.2% chance and Real Valladolid beat Real Zaragoza with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 32.7% | 19.5% | −13.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 43.0% | 55.9% | +12.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 40.4% | 29.7% | −10.8 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 25.9% | 15.1% | −10.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 18.2% | 10.1% | −8.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 16.8% | 8.9% | −7.9 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 12.1% | 20.0% | +7.9 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 12.8% | 20.6% | +7.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 14.7% | 22.4% | +7.7 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 10.0% | 17.1% | +7.1 |