Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Real Zaragoza with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 19 (before the first match) against those on November 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Relegation | 38.7% | 50.6% | +11.8 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 27.4% | 38.9% | +11.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 35.5% | 26.0% | −9.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 15.1% | 6.6% | −8.5 |
| Levante | Champions League | 23.1% | 14.8% | −8.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 18.4% | 10.6% | −7.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 63.2% | 71.0% | +7.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 23.6% | 16.6% | −7.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 14.3% | 19.7% | +5.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 19.9% | 25.2% | +5.3 |
