Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Real Betis with a 13.5% chance and Real Sociedad beat Málaga with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 36.6% | 24.5% | −12.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 30.5% | 42.3% | +11.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 24.8% | 36.5% | +11.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 51.1% | 40.1% | −11.0 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 41.4% | 32.7% | −8.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 79.5% | 88.1% | +8.6 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 25.0% | 16.5% | −8.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 76.6% | 84.2% | +7.5 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 32.3% | 39.4% | +7.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 19.6% | 13.3% | −6.2 |
