Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Málaga with a 10.6% chance, Espanyol beat Real Sociedad with a 22.6% chance, and Real Valladolid beat Osasuna with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Champions League | 54.0% | 41.4% | −12.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 30.7% | 19.6% | −11.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 48.4% | 58.7% | +10.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 29.4% | 19.6% | −9.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 39.6% | 30.5% | −9.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 67.8% | 76.6% | +8.8 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 27.8% | 36.6% | +8.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 42.4% | 51.1% | +8.7 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 14.7% | 23.3% | +8.6 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 33.0% | 24.8% | −8.2 |
