Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Espanyol with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 22 (before the first match) against those on March 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga | Champions League | 36.8% | 62.0% | +25.2 |
| Levante | Champions League | 36.5% | 20.9% | −15.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 23.4% | 36.6% | +13.2 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 19.7% | 31.1% | +11.4 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 17.7% | 8.2% | −9.5 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 9.0% | 18.3% | +9.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 12.0% | 21.3% | +9.2 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 34.9% | 26.0% | −8.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 86.4% | 77.8% | −8.6 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 25.9% | 17.7% | −8.3 |
