Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Valencia with a 10.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on March 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Champions League | 22.6% | 36.5% | +13.9 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 65.2% | 76.6% | +11.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 92.7% | 82.3% | −10.4 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 60.8% | 70.6% | +9.8 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 28.0% | 36.8% | +8.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 95.0% | 86.4% | −8.6 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 5.8% | 13.3% | +7.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 25.9% | 18.4% | −7.5 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 10.8% | 4.8% | −6.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 14.1% | 19.2% | +5.0 |
