Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Racing Santander with a 23.6% chance and Real Betis beat Málaga with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 26 (before the first match) against those on April 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 72.0% | 90.8% | +18.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 36.6% | 18.5% | −18.1 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 75.0% | 92.2% | +17.2 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 62.0% | 45.0% | −17.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 20.4% | 8.4% | −12.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 77.8% | 69.6% | −8.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 6.6% | 14.4% | +7.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 6.9% | 14.6% | +7.6 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 26.0% | 32.8% | +6.8 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 31.1% | 24.3% | −6.8 |
