Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Levante with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 13 (before the first match) against those on February 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 39.4% | 26.6% | −12.7 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 16.3% | 27.9% | +11.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 24.5% | 14.4% | −10.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 25.5% | 35.4% | +9.9 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 81.9% | 91.6% | +9.8 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 20.8% | 12.0% | −8.8 |
| Levante | Champions League | 16.8% | 9.0% | −7.8 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 60.9% | 67.2% | +6.3 |
| Levante | Europa League | 23.5% | 17.9% | −5.7 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 11.0% | 5.5% | −5.5 |
