Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Espanyol with a 22.7% chance and Sevilla beat Valencia with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 20 (before the first match) against those on February 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Champions League | 9.0% | 17.9% | +9.0 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 26.8% | 18.7% | −8.1 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 18.7% | 11.2% | −7.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 86.6% | 79.1% | −7.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 6.2% | 12.8% | +6.6 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 14.2% | 20.7% | +6.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 13.5% | 7.4% | −6.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 20.7% | 14.7% | −6.0 |
| Levante | Europa League | 17.9% | 22.7% | +4.8 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 35.4% | 40.1% | +4.7 |
